Price Move
Daily close-to-close percentage return
What Price Move Measures
The raw daily percentage change in closing price. This is the starting point for any historical pattern match — "the stock moved X% today." TradeOdds buckets this in 0.25% increments to find days with similar magnitude moves.
Buckets
TradeOdds classifies each trading day into one of these buckets for Price Move. When you run an analysis, matching days must fall in the same bucket (or adjacent buckets if tolerance is set above 0).
How It's Calculated
Close-to-close percentage return, bucketed in 0.25% increments from the smallest micro-moves to extraordinary multi-percent swings.
How to Use Price Move in TradeOdds
When you run an analysis on TradeOdds, Price Move is one of 17 conditions that can be active. If Price Move is toggled on, only historical days where Price Move was in the same bucket as today are included in the match.
For example, if today's Price Move reading puts it in the "Down Day (various magnitudes)" bucket, TradeOdds finds all historical days for that stock where Price Move was also classified as "Down Day (various magnitudes)" — then shows you what happened next.
Adding more conditions narrows the match (fewer but more specific historical days). Removing conditions widens the match (more historical days but less specific). The right balance depends on whether you want statistical significance (more matches) or precision (fewer but more similar matches).
See Price Move in Action
Run a free analysis on any stock and see how Price Move affects the historical base rate.
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All 17 Market Conditions
Market Trend
SPY position relative to key moving averages
VIX Level
CBOE Volatility Index current reading
VIX Move
Daily VIX percentage change
Month of Year
Calendar month seasonality
Macro Risk
Global risk state from yield curve and economic indicators
Move Intensity
Price move normalized by 14-day ATR
Relative Volume
Today's volume vs. 20-day average
RSI Zone
14-period RSI momentum classification
RSI Slope
3-day directional slope of RSI
Trend Structure
Price alignment with 9-day and 21-day EMA
Overnight Gap
Gap between today's open and yesterday's close
Analyst Trend
Net analyst sentiment over last 5 days
Earnings Performance
Latest earnings result vs. estimates
Earnings Proximity
Days until next earnings report
Price Streak
Consecutive up or down closing days
Volume Streak
Consecutive days above/below average volume