Macro Condition 1 of 17 market conditions

VIX Move

Daily VIX percentage change

What VIX Move Measures

Measures how much the VIX itself moved today. A VIX spike often signals sudden fear entering the market, while a VIX crush indicates fear dissipating. The direction and magnitude of VIX changes often precede or accompany significant stock moves.

Buckets

TradeOdds classifies each trading day into one of these buckets for VIX Move. When you run an analysis, matching days must fall in the same bucket (or adjacent buckets if tolerance is set above 0).

Extreme Crush Strong Cooling Mild Cooling Flat Mild Rising Significant Spike Extreme Spike

How It's Calculated

Daily VIX percentage change bucketed in 2% increments from -30% to +30%.

How to Use VIX Move in TradeOdds

When you run an analysis on TradeOdds, VIX Move is one of 17 conditions that can be active. If VIX Move is toggled on, only historical days where VIX Move was in the same bucket as today are included in the match.

For example, if today's VIX Move reading puts it in the "Extreme Crush" bucket, TradeOdds finds all historical days for that stock where VIX Move was also classified as "Extreme Crush" — then shows you what happened next.

Adding more conditions narrows the match (fewer but more specific historical days). Removing conditions widens the match (more historical days but less specific). The right balance depends on whether you want statistical significance (more matches) or precision (fewer but more similar matches).

See VIX Move in Action

Run a free analysis on any stock and see how VIX Move affects the historical base rate.

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