Trend Structure
Price alignment with 9-day and 21-day EMA
What Trend Structure Measures
Describes how the stock's price relates to its short-term (9-day) and medium-term (21-day) exponential moving averages. When price is above both and the 9 EMA is above the 21 EMA, you have a "Power Trend" — historically the strongest uptrend configuration.
Buckets
TradeOdds classifies each trading day into one of these buckets for Trend Structure. When you run an analysis, matching days must fall in the same bucket (or adjacent buckets if tolerance is set above 0).
How It's Calculated
Price position relative to 9 EMA and 21 EMA, plus the relationship between the two EMAs. Five states from strongest uptrend to strongest downtrend.
How to Use Trend Structure in TradeOdds
When you run an analysis on TradeOdds, Trend Structure is one of 17 conditions that can be active. If Trend Structure is toggled on, only historical days where Trend Structure was in the same bucket as today are included in the match.
For example, if today's Trend Structure reading puts it in the "Power Trend" bucket, TradeOdds finds all historical days for that stock where Trend Structure was also classified as "Power Trend" — then shows you what happened next.
Adding more conditions narrows the match (fewer but more specific historical days). Removing conditions widens the match (more historical days but less specific). The right balance depends on whether you want statistical significance (more matches) or precision (fewer but more similar matches).
See Trend Structure in Action
Run a free analysis on any stock and see how Trend Structure affects the historical base rate.
Run Free AnalysisNo account required. 5 free analyses per day.
All 17 Market Conditions
Market Trend
SPY position relative to key moving averages
VIX Level
CBOE Volatility Index current reading
VIX Move
Daily VIX percentage change
Month of Year
Calendar month seasonality
Macro Risk
Global risk state from yield curve and economic indicators
Price Move
Daily close-to-close percentage return
Move Intensity
Price move normalized by 14-day ATR
Relative Volume
Today's volume vs. 20-day average
RSI Zone
14-period RSI momentum classification
RSI Slope
3-day directional slope of RSI
Overnight Gap
Gap between today's open and yesterday's close
Analyst Trend
Net analyst sentiment over last 5 days
Earnings Performance
Latest earnings result vs. estimates
Earnings Proximity
Days until next earnings report
Price Streak
Consecutive up or down closing days
Volume Streak
Consecutive days above/below average volume